How the Prop Finder Works

What you're looking at

Pick a season, position, prop, line, and direction — the table shows every qualifying player's hit rate against that line, computed from actual nflverse box scores. Seasons 2021–2025 are loaded, so you can back-test any line against known history.

★ All Props leaderboard

Choosing ★ All Props in the Prop menu (or ALL as the position) ranks every prop at a standard line — one row per player, prop, and direction, sorted by hit rate. Standard lines are each prop's default (e.g. Passing Yards 225.5, Receptions 4.5, Anytime TD 0.5). The Under side of 0.5-line props (Interceptions, Anytime TD) is left off the board — low-usage players hit those trivially. Use the Direction menu to restrict the board to Overs or Unders.

Hit rate definition

Over = share of completed games where the player's stat finished above your line. Under = share below it. A push (stat exactly equal to a whole-number line) counts as a miss for both directions. Only games the player actually appeared in count — a stat line of zero in a game played is a real zero.

Season / L3 / L5 windows

Season covers all of the player's games in scope. L3 and L5 cover the most recent 3 and 5 (playoffs latest when included); they show — when the player has fewer games than the window.

Game date, Not started, Has line today

Game date binds results to that date's slate: only players whose team plays that day appear, with the matchup and kickoff (CT) shown, and the season switches to the slate's season. Not started then hides games that have already kicked off — useful for live-day betting. Has line today is waiting on NFL sportsbook prop feeds (coming with the in-season odds sync); it's disabled until then.

Filters

Position gates which props are offered (QBs get passing plus rushing props, RBs/WRs/TEs get rushing/receiving, Ks get kicking). Include playoffs adds postseason games to every window. Home/Away restricts the games the rates are computed over. Min usage filters on the per-game opportunity metric (attempts, carries, targets, touches, or kicks depending on the prop). The three Min % floors drop rows below a Season / L3 / L5 hit rate.

Anytime TD

Counts rushing + receiving + return touchdowns — passing TDs never count for anytime-TD markets. Line 0.5 = "scores a TD"; 1.5 = "2+ TDs".

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Passing Yards Over 225.5 · 2025 Regular Season · QB · 81 rows
Player Team Pos GP Att/G Avg Season % L3 % L5 %
Kenny Pickett LV QB 6 7.5 31.3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Tyrod Taylor NYJ QB 6 22.3 129.8 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Brady Cook NYJ QB 5 30.6 147.8 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Kyler Murray ARI QB 5 32.2 192.4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Mason Rudolph PIT QB 5 10.4 62.0 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Tyler Huntley BAL QB 5 13.4 85.2 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Andy Dalton CAR QB 4 9.3 73.3 0.0% 0.0%
Cooper Rush BAL QB 4 13.0 75.8 0.0% 0.0%
Gardner Minshew KC QB 4 3.3 9.3 0.0% 0.0%
Joe Milton III DAL QB 4 6.0 45.8 0.0% 0.0%
Joshua Dobbs NE QB 4 2.5 16.3 0.0% 0.0%
Nick Mullens JAX QB 4 0.8 4.8 0.0% 0.0%
Trey Lance LAC QB 4 14.3 56.5 0.0% 0.0%
Zach Wilson MIA QB 4 2.8 8.0 0.0% 0.0%
Chris Oladokun KC QB 3 18.3 78.3 0.0% 0.0%
Drew Lock SEA QB 3 1.0 5.0 0.0% 0.0%
Jalen Milroe SEA QB 3 0.0 0.0 0.0% 0.0%
Jimmy Garoppolo LA QB 3 0.0 0.0 0.0% 0.0%
Josh Johnson WAS QB 3 18.0 124.0 0.0% 0.0%
Teddy Bridgewater TB QB 3 5.0 20.7 0.0% 0.0%
Anthony Richardson IND QB 2 1.0 4.5 0.0%
Clayton Tune GB QB 2 7.5 21.0 0.0%
Kedon Slovis ARI QB 2 1.0 -1.0 0.0%
Kyle Allen DET QB 2 1.0 0.0 0.0%
Tyson Bagent CHI QB 2 2.0 23.5 0.0%
Adrian Martinez SF QB 1 0.0 0.0 0.0%
Aidan O'Connell LV QB 1 22.0 102.0 0.0%
Brandon Allen TEN QB 1 30.0 72.0 0.0%
Brett Rypien CIN QB 1 0.0 0.0 0.0%
Jarrett Stidham DEN QB 1 0.0 0.0 0.0%
Shane Buechele KC QB 1 14.0 88.0 0.0%
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