Hit Rate Finder ?

What you're looking at

Set a minimum hit rate and get back every player prop that Hard Rock Bet currently has posted and that clears it. The Line column is Hard Rock Bet's current line for the player's next game — Hard Rock only, read from that game's own sportsbook event, so a player Hard Rock hasn't posted for his next game isn't on the board (no other book stands in, and a later week's line is never used); hover it for the price and kickoff. Props drop off the board once that game kicks off. Covered markets: Passing Yards, Completions, Pass Attempts, Rushing Yards, Rush Attempts, Receiving Yards, and Receptions. Anytime TD is always a 0.5 line (does the player score?), so it's listed as Fixed for every player on the board and its closing-line rates match its current-line rates. It's Over only. Exclude Anytime TD props hides it (otherwise it tends to crowd the top of the board); Only Anytime TD props shows nothing but TD rows and locks Direction to Over. Checking one unchecks the other.

The Filters button opens a popup with two refinements (the number on the button counts the active ones). Prop Types — tick any combination of props to show; none ticked means every prop type, and ticking only Anytime TD is the same as Only Anytime TD. Line — show only props whose current line is exactly that number, e.g. Receptions + 4.5 lists every 4.5-catch line on the board; leave it empty for any line. Press Apply (or Find Players) to run the search.

The Games button opens this week's slate as scoreboard cards. Tap one or more games, then press Apply to show only props for players in those matchups (the search re-runs right away). The selection shows as a chip beside the button — click its ×, or pick All games and Apply, to go back to the full board. Only games that haven't kicked off are listed, since props drop off at kickoff.

Hit rate vs current line

Hit Rate and L3 replay the season's completed regular-season games against today's line: would the stat have finished over (or under) this number? Record is hits / games played. L3 shows — until the player has 3 games.

Hit rate vs closing lines

vs Close and L3 Close grade each past game against Hard Rock's closing line for that game (its last quote before kickoff), so line movement across the season is accounted for. Games Hard Rock didn't post are skipped, so Close Rec can cover fewer games than GP. L3 Close grades whichever of the last 3 games have a close.

Edge

Edge is the player's season average minus today's line, signed so that + always favors the side you're searching: on Over, an average of 68 against a 54.5 line is +13.5; on Under, the same numbers show −13.5. It's a raw gap in the stat's own units (yards, catches, attempts), so compare it within a prop type, not across them.

Definitions & filters

A push (stat exactly on a whole-number line) counts as a miss for both directions. Min Hit Rate % is the floor the season rate vs the current line must clear (leave it empty to rank everything). Min Games drops small samples — a 100% rate over 2 games isn't signal.

Digging deeper

Click a player to open their profile in a popup on their Prop Stats tab, which lists every graded closing line game by game; the other profile tabs work inside the popup too, and "Open full profile" (or Ctrl/Cmd-click on the name) opens it in a new tab. For custom lines, usage floors, home/away splits, and props without sportsbook lines (passing TDs, interceptions, kicking), use the full Prop Finder.