Props Performance
Every graded official pick — wins, losses and closing line valueNo published record yet.
The model is in its shadow period: picks are generated, logged and graded privately until enough slates and per-market observations have accumulated. Nothing is published here until the numbers are real ones — no back-dated record, no cherry-picked start date. See the methodology for the exact thresholds.
Calibration — stated P(over) vs what actually happened
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90%
Grey = the average probability we stated; green = the share that actually went over. Equal heights mean the stated probabilities are honest. This covers every graded prediction, not only the ones that became picks — the whole sample, including the markets we decline to bet.