NFL Week 9
FINAL1 Pick
JAX-8.533
BAL40.510
FINAL1 Pick
CIN-334
ATL52.517
FINAL
CLE43.522
NO-4.523
FINAL
DAL-4.527
IND51.523
FINAL
DEN-326
CAR44.521
FINAL
DET-6.519
MIA49.59
FINAL
LA-4.520
WAS48.513
FINAL
NYG-319
PHI38.511
FINAL2 Picks
NYJ47.512
KC-9.535
FINAL
HOU-5.544
LAC40.522
FINAL1 Pick
LV51.517
SF-8.538
FINAL
ARI39.53
SEA-8.517
FINAL
GB44.545
NE-327
FINAL1 Pick
TB47.524
CHI-6.527
FINAL
BUF-323
MIN45.56
← Analysis / Game Props

How Game Props Works

The schedule

Pick a season and week to see every game with its market total (O/U) and spread. Cards show the live score while a game is in progress (updated about once a minute) and the final afterward. Click any card to load that game's props.

Which line is shown

Every price on this page is Hard Rock Bet. For each QB, RB, WR, and TE that Hard Rock posts a prop on for this game, you see their line and both prices. Lines are read from this game's own sportsbook event only, so a player traded away (or a line from another game the same day) never shows up here. Before kickoff it's the latest captured line; once the game starts you see closing lines.

Markets by position

QBs: passing yards, completions, pass attempts, rushing yards, and rush attempts. RBs: rushing yards, rush attempts, receiving yards, and receptions. WRs/TEs: receiving yards and receptions. Touchdown props are excluded — 0.5-line TD markets are priced asymmetrically and hit-rate leans don't apply.

Hit rates

Each line shows how often the player has gone over that exact number in three windows, all from this season only: L3 and L5 (their most recent games played this season) and the season so far (games before the selected game only). Nothing reaches back into last season — early in the year a player with two games shows 2 games in every window, and a player with none shows —. Only games the player appeared in are counted.

Player details

Click a player's name to open their full profile page (season stats, game logs, career, and graded prop history). Click anywhere else on a player's row for a quick popup with four tabs: Season Stats, Game Log and Prop Stats cover this season only, and Career lists his totals by season. Prop Stats grades this season's Hard Rock closing lines against what the player actually did (games Hard Rock didn't post aren't graded).

Game Props tab

Switch to Game Props to compare both teams as bets. The strip on top is Hard Rock's spread, total and moneyline for this game (latest line before kickoff, the closing line once it starts). Each team panel shows its betting record this season entering this game (this season only — last season is never mixed in, so early weeks show just the games played so far): straight up, against the spread (overall, home, road), as the favorite and as the underdog (straight up and ATS), moneyline units (profit from 1 unit on every closing moneyline), average spread and ATS margin. Game totals covers the over/under side: points scored, allowed and combined per game, the average closing total and how far games landed above (+) or below (−) it, the over-under record overall, home/road and as favorite/underdog (the % is the over rate), and how the team's games finished against this game's total. The strip on top also shows each team's average combined points this season. Rows that match the team's spot in this game — home or road, favorite or underdog — are highlighted. Recent games lists the last six results this season against the closing spread and total.

Every game is graded against Hard Rock's closing line for that game only, which is available from 2024 on. A favorite has a negative closing spread (a pick'em goes by the moneyline); percentages leave out pushes and ties.

Best Props and leans

Every prop gets a lean — over or under — from a blend of its hit-rate windows, with recent form weighted heaviest (L3 45%, L5 30%, season so far 25%). The percentage on the badge is the blended hit rate of the leaned side; solid badges are 70%+. A player needs at least 5 games this season before he gets a lean. The Best Props rail at the top ranks the game's strongest leans (60%+) across both teams so the plays worth a look surface immediately. Leans are historical frequency, not a prediction model — always sanity-check the matchup.

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